InternationalHealth
Aktualisiert am 26. Juni 2026

NOAA sagt, El Niño sei zurückgekehrt, während Vorhersagedienste vor stärkerer Hitze und extremeren Niederschlägen warnen

Aktualisiert: 26. Juni 2026, Brussels. Das Climate Prediction Center der NOAA teilte am 11. Juni mit, dass im tropischen Pazifik El-Niño-Bedingungen vorliegen und erwartet wird, dass sie sich bis in den Winter 2026-27 der Nordhalbkugel verstärken.

Belgium Impulse Editorial·26 June 2026·2 min read·
Well established· 1 Primärquelle + 2 offizielle Dokumente + 1 unabhängige Nachrichtenquelle · Akademische Quellen: 1

In 30 seconds

  • NOAA gab am 11. Juni 2026 ein El Niño Advisory heraus und sagte, es werde erwartet, dass sich die Bedingungen bis zum Winter 2026-27 verstärken.
  • NOAA prognostizierte eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63 %, dass El Niño im Zeitraum November-Januar sehr starke Werte erreicht.
  • IRI sagte am 22. Juni, die El-Niño-Wahrscheinlichkeiten lägen von Juni-August bis September-November bei 100 %.
  • IRI sagte, 13 von 24 Modellen zeigten einen sehr starken El-Niño-Höhepunkt im Zeitraum September-November.

El Niño ist die warme Phase der El Niño-Southern Oscillation, eines pazifischen Ozean-Atmosphäre-Zyklus, den

Organisation

NOAA

said El Niño conditions are present and described expected climate impacts and historical records

Why it matters

said El Niño conditions are present and described expected climate impacts and historical records

About

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is a United States scientific and regulatory agency tasked with forecasting weather, monitoring oceanic and atmospheric conditions, charting the seas, conducting deep-sea exploration, and managing fishing and protection of marine mammals and endangered species in the US exclusive economic zone. The agency is part of the United States Department of Commerce and is headquartered in Silver Spring, Maryland.

und
Organisation

IRI

climate centre reporting Pacific readings and El Niño intensification

Why it matters

climate centre reporting Pacific readings and El Niño intensification

About

Eritrea, officially the State of Eritrea, is a country in the Horn of Africa region of East Africa. Its capital and largest city is Asmara. The country is bordered by Ethiopia to the south, Sudan to the west, and Djibouti to the southeast. The northeastern and eastern parts of Eritrea have an extensive coastline along the Red Sea.

anhand von Meeresoberflächentemperaturen, Winden und Druckmustern verfolgen. NOAA teilte mit, der jüngste wöchentliche Niño-3.4-Index habe Anfang Juni +0,7 C erreicht, während IRI einen späteren Wochenwert von +1,7 C um den 17. Juni meldete, was eine rasche Verstärkung im zentralen Pazifik zeigt.

Background

IRI weist darauf hin, dass sich El-Niño- und La-Niña-Ereignisse häufig von April bis Juni entwickeln, zwischen Oktober und Februar ihren Höhepunkt erreichen, gewöhnlich 9 bis 12 Monate dauern und alle zwei bis sieben Jahre wiederkehren. NOAA sagt, die historische Datenreihe, die zur Einstufung großer Ereignisse verwendet wird, reiche bis 1950 zurück.

Context & what happens next

Impact

Regional — Für Belgien ist die Auswirkung indirekt. Das Königliche Meteorologische Institut bleibt die zuständige Stelle für belgische Hitze-, Gewitter- und Niederschlagswarnungen; El Niño ist ein übergeordnetes Klimasignal und keine lokale Wettervorhersage für Brussels, Wallonie oder Flandern.

Evidence
Well established · 1 Primärquelle + 2 offizielle Dokumente + 1 unabhängige Nachrichtenquelle · Akademische Quellen: 1
Explore evidence
NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Published:
11 Jun 2026, 02:00
Retrieved by ODIN:
26 Jun 2026
Read original
International Research Institute for Climate and Society
Published:
22 Jun 2026, 02:00
Retrieved by ODIN:
26 Jun 2026
Read original
The Guardian, reporting WMO warning
Published:
2 Jun 2026, 02:00
Retrieved by ODIN:
26 Jun 2026
Read original
Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium
official
Publication date unavailable
Retrieved by ODIN:
26 Jun 2026
Read original

Voices & reactions

What the main actors are doing

Reported positions, summarised — not direct quotations

NOAA-Vorhersagedienste

Das Climate Prediction Center der NOAA stellt das Ereignis als eingetreten und sich verstärkend dar, mit einer konkreten Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63 %, dass November-Januar in der historischen Datenreihe, die 1950 beginnt, sehr starke El-Niño-Werte erreicht.

WMO-Risikokommunikatoren

Die öffentliche Botschaft der World Meteorological Organization, über die The Guardian berichtete, betont Vorbereitung und Unsicherheit hinsichtlich der Stärke und warnt davor, jeden starken El Niño als einheitliche globale Katastrophenvorhersage zu behandeln.

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Organisations

NOAA

said El Niño conditions are present and described expected climate impacts and historical records

In this story

said El Niño conditions are present and described expected climate impacts and historical records

Background

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is a United States scientific and regulatory agency tasked with forecasting weather, monitoring oceanic and atmospheric conditions, charting the seas, conducting deep-sea exploration, and managing fishing and protection of marine mammals and endangered species in the US exclusive economic zone. The agency is part of the United States Department of Commerce and is headquartered in Silver Spring, Maryland.

Organisations

Climate Prediction Center

NOAA centre that said El Niño conditions are present in the tropical Pacific

In this story

NOAA centre that said El Niño conditions are present in the tropical Pacific

Background

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is a United States federal agency that is one of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, which are a part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service. CPC is headquartered in College Park, Maryland.

Places

Northern Hemisphere

region referenced for the winter period when El Niño is expected to strengthen

In this story

region referenced for the winter period when El Niño is expected to strengthen

Background

The Northern Hemisphere is the half of Earth that is north of the equator. For other planets in the Solar System, north is defined as being in the same celestial hemisphere relative to the invariable plane the Solar System as Earth's North Pole.

Organisations

IRI

climate centre reporting Pacific readings and El Niño intensification

In this story

climate centre reporting Pacific readings and El Niño intensification

Background

Eritrea, officially the State of Eritrea, is a country in the Horn of Africa region of East Africa. Its capital and largest city is Asmara. The country is bordered by Ethiopia to the south, Sudan to the west, and Djibouti to the southeast. The northeastern and eastern parts of Eritrea have an extensive coastline along the Red Sea.

Places

Pacific

region where readings show El Niño intensifying

In this story

region where readings show El Niño intensifying

Background

The Pacific Ocean is the largest and deepest of Earth's five oceanic divisions. It stretches from the Arctic Ocean in the north to the Southern Ocean, or, depending on the definition, to Antarctica in the south, and is bounded by the continents of Asia and Australia in the west and the Americas in the east.

Organisations

Royal Meteorological Institute

authority for Belgian heat, thunderstorm and rainfall warnings

In this story

authority for Belgian heat, thunderstorm and rainfall warnings

Background

The Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium is a Belgian federal institute engaged in scientific research in the field of meteorology. The RMI depends on the Belgian Federal Science Policy Office (BELSPO). The institute is a member of the World Meteorological Organization, of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, of EUMETSAT, and of the EIG Eumetnet.

Places

Brussels

Belgian location mentioned in the update dateline and local forecast context

In this story

Belgian location mentioned in the update dateline and local forecast context

Background

The City of Brussels is the largest municipality and historical centre of the Brussels-Capital Region, as well as the capital of the French Community of Belgium, the Flemish Region, and Belgium. The City of Brussels is also the administrative centre of the European Union, as it hosts a number of principal EU institutions in its European Quarter.

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